Archive for March, 2009

29
Mar
09

happy navratras

1.      Mata Chintpurni Devi is located in a village of the same name in District Una,       Himachal Pradesh. Devotees have been visiting this Shaktipeeth for centuries     to pray at the lotus feet of Mata Shri Chhinnamastika Devi and Mata Shri    Chintpurni Devi. They bring with them their worldly concerns and seek  blessings from the Devi. It is believed that if you ask something from the   Devi with a true heart, your wish will be granted.

JAI MATA CHINTPURNI

 

Stopping, calming, and resting are pre conditions for healing – thich nhat hanh

In these holy navratras offer your heart to Maa for healing and get it recharged  by fasting, offering prayars, chanting mantras, doing only satvik karmas.

Just a day back , I received a sms …………….” Like birds, let’s leave behind What we don’t need 2 carry.

Grudges

Sadness

Pain

Fear

Regrets

& ego

fly light , life is beautiful……..

 

Happy Navratras………………..

 

JAI MATA DI………………….

 

18
Mar
09

recession and solution

Recession and Solution

 

 

Attribute of recession

 

 

Decline in GDP for 2 or more successive quarters of a year. Or

1.5% rise in unemployment in a year. Or

Declining trend of business cycle. Or

Downward trend in growth rate of GDP. Or

Significant decline in economic activities, such as employment, investments & corporate profits.

Causes of recession

 

 

Currency crisis

Energy crisis

War

Under consumption

Over production

Finance crisis

Effects of recession

Bankruptcies

Credit crunch

Deflation

Unemployment

Crash in property

Stock market crash

Spreading from one country to others.

Responding to recession

Deficit spending by Government.

Tax cut to boast demand

Business owner redesign customer offerings

Replace workers with more motivated staff

Over communicate .

reasonable man power, lower leverage cost, new techniques, rich and intelligent entrepreneurs initiate.

Rebuilding high confidence with in economy

 

.

Responding to recession

 

 

Initiating new infrastructure projects.

Lower profit margins to boast sales

Recruiting motivated pro-active staff.

Looking for alternate cost and material.

Using sun-earth-air-water based projects.

Reforms and updating agriculture, manufacturing, services and retail

 

.

Responding to recession

 

 

The founder and managing director of venture capital firm : Draper Fisher Jurvetson (DFJ), MR. Tim Draper says both boom and bust cycles offer opportunities. Hence current financial crisis is yet another opportunity for entrepreneurs to build great, disruptive businesses. This is the time , entrepreneurs, are recreating themselves, working out how to do with less money.  Greater opportunities come from tops and bottoms…………….

Macro study : on march 2009

Inflation is very low, creating space for lower interest rates.

Capital, man-power, raw material, space is available at affordable rates.

Demand is also low. To create demand either lower margins or introduce better version of product with more value, or come out with alternate option.

Invest for longer period , in business , unit or enterprises. Cont………….

Cont………

This is 1st time in history that all the governments together globally, are trying their level best , not only to safe guard but infusing money , ideas , infrastructure , tax benefits and lot more to kill the devil of recession and collective efforts hardly fails.

If we think we can beat recession , we can.

Understanding business cycle

 

 

We simply attempt to be fearful when others are greedy and to be greedy when others are fearful. – warren buffet.

Value investing is solely concerned with getting the most profits at the lowest cost.

Broking business : what to do

Learn new technology, new tools to perform better in next bull ( upward ) run ( trend )

There is no substitute to education and experience. Spend money and time in education to upgrade our self.

When economy will start moving upward no one will have time to teach or learn.

Judgment by using technical

 

 

Volumes

Pivot

By using rsi

Moving averages

Candle stick

Cci

Fibonacci levels etc.

Technical as on…….

 

 

Moving averages (simple): as on 16.02.09

2877 2885 2853 2822 2870 2882 3769

Fibonacci price projections:

0% 61.8% 100% 161.8% 261.8%

 

Up 2662 2852 2970 3160 3468

Dn 2970 2780 2662 2472 2164

 

 

 

 

 

 

Using derivatives

 

 

Butterfly spread : safe trading strategy , have insurance while earning better profits compare to bank interest rates

Using call puts to hedge our positions

Calendar spread for benefiting out of discrepancy in rates between the 2.

Advantage of leverage in speculation.

 

 

Arbitrage

 

 

Its most of the time profitable trade.

Arbitrage” trading is simply the trading of securities when the opportunity exists during the trading day to take advantage of differences in value between the markets the trades are made within. Arbitrage trading takes place all day long on most days that the markets are active.

Arbitrage

 

 

Spot to spot

Spot to future

Future to future

Future to options

Options to options

Spot to options

Penetration of new clients

Tell success story of equity investing for long term, the way we invest in bank fd.

This is good time to go for SIPs in stocks, valuations are attractive compare to jan.08.

Ask clients to avoid leverage. 2nd invite only that money which is not required for immediate expenses.

Be honest and tell risk and reward. Patience is the name of the game.

Asking investors to invest at cheap rates ( attractive valuations ) is social work.

Time to work harder

 

 

This may not be time to expand but this is time to invest your efforts in big way. More you go out , more you will get.

Hard working personalities never fail.

All efforts reap bonuses , its matter of time , today of tomorrow , success is going to knock our doors. Stand up, starts moving

 

16
Mar
09

nifty watch

 

Its all mathematics only…..On march 06th , it was written:-

Look the impact. Nifty has dropped from 2900 plus to 2550. now for once we can cover our position . there may be chances that market looks upward on short covering or pull back rally. 5 days rsi is @ 19. 5 days moving avg. is @ 2657. nifty may pull back to that level. Indusind bank and sintex looks good at these levels for long term as well as short term investment.  2539 and 2501 are good support of nifty.

Now nifty can face resistance @ 2755 and 2805,  

DISCLAIMER :- We can’t dictate the market. Its an observation only. May , may not hold good. Much depend on govt. policies ,economic & political scenario. Its more of an informatics’ article only. Presenter /writer is not liable or responsible for any personal or financial losses or profits.

06
Mar
09

nifty watch : congr……… sh. v. mallya

Mallya happy to bring Gandhi’s heritage back to India

Fri, Mar 6 04:47 AM

Washington, March 6 (IANS) Indian liquor tycoon Vijay Mallya is very pleased with his purchase of a set of Mahatma Gandhi’s personal belongings including his iconic round-rimmed spectacles as he is bringing the national heritage home.

Tony Bedi, the representative of Mallya who bought the items for $1.8 million at an auction in New York, said his client is ‘really pleased with the purchase’ as ‘he is bringing the heritage of the items back to India’.

The circumstances of the auction were unusual, Bedi was quoted as saying by the New York Times.

Los Angeles collector, James Otis ‘had a double mind at the last moment,’ Bedi said, adding that he did not think Otis’s change of heart would prevent the sale from being finalised.

Inside the auction room was a mix between elite Indian-born businessmen and diehard watch collectors. One of the potential bidder was Sant Singh Chatwal, an Indian-American businessman who is close to former president Bill Clinton. Source : rediff.com

It was written on feb.01st 2009………………..

Market regulator SEBI has asked all the listed companies in the country to make disclosures on shares pledged by promoters within seven days and amended the relevant regulations on this.

 

 

 

Following its decision at a board meeting held on January 21, the regulator has outlined the norms for disclosure about pledged promoter shares in an amendment to the Securities and Exchange Board of India (Substantial Acquisition of Shares and Takeovers) Regulations, 1997. source : economics times

 

Above news may impact market badly in coming week. And reaction may be sharp if foreign markets are also down. The world economy may be heading for a zero growth year in 2009 due to a deepening recession in developed countries, as per report published by UNCTAD. Back to home, dlf earnings slide by 69% and unitech registered fall in profits by 74%, mahindras by 99%. Its estimated, same trend may continue for another 2 quarters also. Job of 1500 are in question , if sale of jaguar land rover do not improve .Technically 2800 (5 days moving vag.) and 2886 ( 39 days moving average ) are major trend deciding zone, nay break out or down will establish the trend. Main upward resistance is 3142 and downward 2662 (2770 is light support ) is major support . in result of breaking any major resistance or support there is possibility of losing or gaining another 300 points.

Look the impact. Nifty has dropped from 2900 plus to 2550. now for once we can cover our position . there may be chances that market looks upward on short covering or pull back rally. 5 days rsi is @ 19. 5 days moving avg. is @ 2657. nifty may pull back to that level. Indusind bank and sintex looks good at these levels for long term as well as short term investment.  2539 and 2501 are good support of nifty.

 

DISCLAIMER :- We can’t dictate the market. Its an observation only. May , may not hold good. Much depend on govt. policies ,economic & political scenario. Its more of an informatics’ article only. Presenter /writer is not liable or responsible for any personal or financial losses or profits.




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